After Putin's October Threat

 Is the Russian Bear Cornered After Putin's October Threat?


One could envision a tangible sense of urgency setting in the dimly lighted halls of the Kremlin, where Russian President Vladimir Putin's face frequently throws a long, calculating shadow. The Russian President has given his defense minister, Sergei Shoigu, an ultimatum, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW): "Halt the Ukrainian counteroffensive by the beginning of October 2023."

why at this time? Why has the pressure suddenly increased? The solution can be found in the frankness of military realities and the delicate political narrative that defines war. Putin's own admission that a Ukrainian counteroffensive began on June 9 reveals an underlying understanding of the issues at hand. It was long believed that the Russian military was invincible.

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